Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $12.51
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
0x0df0...d7fe
0x0df0c989e89a823ad7385f1dcabee2cc79f2d7fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $121.79
- Realized PnL
- -$0.16
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $22.03
- Potential payout
- $957.7
- Potential profit
- $935.68
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $11.82
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $366.51
- Potential profit
- $356.43
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $128.85
- Potential profit
- $124.54
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $123.05
- Potential profit
- $122.43
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.7%
- Current value
- $61.89
- Potential payout
- $103.66
- Potential profit
- $41.78
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $60.87
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $59.48
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.6% 300 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.6% 200 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.8% 85.88 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 3% 15.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 10.64 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.8% 38.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 1.9% 67.78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 1.9% 11.16 shares