Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
CFW
0x0e2e49c5e8c8901b5dec323add6dfca62c41db6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.33
- Realized PnL
- $5.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- User PnL
- -$199.72
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on August 1 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$129.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$199.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$176.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$119.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$99.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$149.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$284.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$298.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$99.88
Yes position
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $7.33
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$199.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$199.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on August 1 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$99.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $932.1
- Potential profit
- $932.1
- User PnL
- -$247.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $910.58
- Potential profit
- $910.58
- User PnL
- -$99.76
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$90
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.22
Bitboy position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $192.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.3
Yes position
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
Ends Mar 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.75
$2 first position
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 15% 266.47 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?Yes 61.5% 32.51 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes 28.4% 70.31 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?Yes 24.7% 202.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5% 111.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 2.4% 292.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 208.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 312.5 shares