yayatrader

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $22.61
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$6.54

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $41.26
Potential payout: $634.71
Potential profit: $593.45
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $600.47
Potential profit: $588.16
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $29.95
Potential payout: $539.61
Potential profit: $509.66
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $24.83
Potential payout: $473.03
Potential profit: $448.2
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $462.12
Potential profit: $457.73
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $63.35
Potential payout: $365.36
Potential profit: $302.01
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $292.8
Potential profit: $288.26
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $289.8
Potential profit: $284.73
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $246.16
Potential profit: $246.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$63.88

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $16.97
Potential payout: $230.91
Potential profit: $213.94
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Iran leadership change by July 31?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $218.71
Potential profit: $209.41
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $199.78
Potential profit: $189.29
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $99.8
Potential payout: $186.55
Potential profit: $86.75
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.2%
Current value: $64.97
Potential payout: $140.78
Potential profit: $75.81
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $126.7
Potential profit: $117.45
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: -$2.57

Kilian Feldbausch position

Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.65
Potential profit: $113.65
User PnL: -$18.85

No position

Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $111.82
Potential profit: $105.28
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $111.41
Potential profit: $95.81
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $43.88
Potential payout: $109.7
Potential profit: $65.82
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?

Ends Aug 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $107.79
Potential profit: $103.48
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $10.97
Potential payout: $99.77
Potential profit: $88.8
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ilinca Amariei position

Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Herea

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.24

Miguel Damas position

Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.7

Luca Van Assche position

Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.08

Dominic Stephan Stricker position

Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Nicolas Arseneault position

Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Ekaterina Perelygina position

Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelygina

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

Filippo Romano position

Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $4.33

Anastasia Gasanova position

Istanbul 2: Anastasia Gasanova vs Susan Bandecchi

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will FURIA Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.06

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Désiré Doué: 1+ assists

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.14

Charles Broom position

Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Rikuya Hoshino finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.5

Carmen Andreea Herea position

Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Herea

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yasmine Kabbaj position

Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelygina

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Andres Martin position

Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin