Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $9.64
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $704.64
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Polymarket Trader
MKAP-092
0x0e4527c36379d7ff1875bdda938a16ed341517ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $418.7
- Realized PnL
- $159.47
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $615.31
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $313.23
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $302.97
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $260.77
- Potential profit
- $251.78
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $8.11
- Potential payout
- $213.4
- Potential profit
- $205.29
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Y
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $202
- Potential profit
- $200.38
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.38
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $66.45
- Potential payout
- $184.58
- Potential profit
- $118.13
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$13.42
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $27.45
- Potential payout
- $181.16
- Potential profit
- $153.71
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $7.27
- Potential payout
- $148.32
- Potential profit
- $141.05
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $114.47
- Potential profit
- $110.7
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.22
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.16
- Potential profit
- $97.16
- User PnL
- -$59.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $91.95
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $38.14
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $81.36
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $77.98
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.23
- Potential profit
- $86.23
- User PnL
- -$58.46
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.68
- Potential profit
- $81.68
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $67.31
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $74.51
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $15.26
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $62.14
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $61.43
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $24.65
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $44.79
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
No position
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.26
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.04
No position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.56
No position
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
No position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.21
No position
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?Yes 8.7% 114.47 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.7% 148.32 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 11.4% 87.72 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.9% 50.25 shares
- Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?Yes 78.6% 19.09 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 11% 90.91 shares