No position
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $840.84
- Potential payout
- $885.09
- Potential profit
- $44.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $118
Polymarket Trader
nelsonc19
0x0e5bd05888cc80453a4ac18f85c750bb4e434ef4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.44K
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $721.05
- Potential payout
- $879.33
- Potential profit
- $158.28
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $244.4
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.17
- Potential profit
- $698.17
- User PnL
- -$219.88
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$32.6
Yes position
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.98
- Potential profit
- $599.98
- User PnL
- -$506.88
No position
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $527.19
- Potential payout
- $595.69
- Potential profit
- $68.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $91.49
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.31
- Potential payout
- $245.44
- Potential profit
- $242.12
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $205
- User PnL
- -$41
No position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $202.47
- Potential payout
- $204.62
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.06
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$116
Gen.G position
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.55
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.01
- Potential profit
- $53.01
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.23
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$28.21
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$22
Pistons position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $37.56
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.9
- Potential profit
- $20.9
- User PnL
- -$19.91
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$14.18
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $19.49
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.27
No position
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.21
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.8
KT Rolster position
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
No position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.13
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.76
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.87
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.67
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.31
Yes position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $42.57
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.89
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
No position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.1
T1 position
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.65
Under position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.68
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 37% 139 shares
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)Gen.G 26% 200 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 200 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 86% 112.6 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 87.8% 63.93 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 38% 155.33 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.7% 100 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 89.8% 30 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 85.3% 23.49 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?No 83% 12.93 shares
- Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No 44% 50 shares