jrosjgoisgsg

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.58K
Potential profit: $8.58K
User PnL: -$3.31K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $300
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $540

Down position

Meta (META) Up or Down on April 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$1.95K

Down position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$1.08K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $270
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $310

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$781.97

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$545.56

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$475.72

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$593.31

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $175.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $35.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$582.18

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$520.35

Down position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$518.6

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$24

Down position

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $968
Potential profit: $968
User PnL: -$342.14

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $870.36
Potential profit: $870.36
User PnL: -$415.07

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850.01
Potential profit: $850.01
User PnL: -$207.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.63
Potential profit: $849.63
User PnL: -$348.35

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $738.25
Potential profit: $738.25
User PnL: -$232.62

Down position

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.07
Potential profit: $689.07
User PnL: -$420.05

Down position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.52
Potential profit: $586.52
User PnL: -$257.09

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.08
Potential profit: $583.08
User PnL: -$314.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Up position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Up position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Down position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32K

Up position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Down position

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 13?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $904.27

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $901.88

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.37

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $778.82

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731.72

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.31

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 16?