Polymarket Trader

darrensm

0x0e7ca4052754276313327cee0b1daf305983239f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.37
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $13.96
Potential profit: $13.89
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.74
Potential profit: $13.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.54
Potential profit: $13.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $13.44
Potential profit: $13.24
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.75
Potential profit: $12.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $12.65
Potential profit: $12.61
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $12.28
Potential profit: $12.16
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $11.86
Potential profit: $11.21
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $11.15
Potential profit: $10.2
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $7.51
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $8.42
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $9.62
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $10.08
Potential profit: $9.19
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $9.93
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $9.31
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 21.8%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $9.31
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $9.16
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $7.72
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $8.85
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $7.83
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $7.72
Potential profit: $5.87
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $7.59
Potential profit: $5.58
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $5.58
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 11?

Yes 8% 8.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 11?

Yes 13% 8.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 10.1% 9.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?

Yes 15.8% 9.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 31% 9.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?

Yes 9% 10.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 9% 10.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 11?

Yes 20% 10.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?

Yes 33% 10.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?

Yes 11% 11.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Yes 19% 7.59 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?

Yes 17% 7.72 shares