No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $88
- User PnL
- -$10.56
Polymarket Trader
samuele0505
0x0e7cae3bbc1893e5930f0cb5c61005cc7ef31412
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.05
- Realized PnL
- $13.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $17.6
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $17.41
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $7.82
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 74% 2.7 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 68% 14.71 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.5% 17.61 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 88% 7.95 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 63% 7.94 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp 48% 3.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp 49% 1.96 shares