Polymarket Trader

GummiMummi

0x0e8d61f16a2373931ffbfc2993f046e33286dfcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $2.66M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Election certified on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.13K
Potential profit: $140.13K
User PnL: -$15.78K

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.92K
Potential profit: $49.92K
User PnL: -$8.29K

No position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.26K
Potential profit: $24.26K
User PnL: -$20.02K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $11.5K
User PnL: -$5.49K

No position

Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $9.1K
User PnL: -$7.64K

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$4.45K

No position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $4.27K
User PnL: -$3.57K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$72.88

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $3.11K
User PnL: -$87.85

Yes position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Henry McMaster win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Mike Pompeo win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Nancy Mace win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Katie Britt win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Lee Zeldin win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Mike Pence win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950
Potential profit: $950
User PnL: -$38.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?

Ends Oct 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1084136.03x
User PnL: $287.86K

No position

Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 25, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2532622.46x
User PnL: $282.55K

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 25, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 3309577.53x
User PnL: $259.24K

Democratic position

Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 793924.87x
User PnL: $196.21K

Yes position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?

Ends Jun 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.83K

Yes position

Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?

Ends Jul 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 11237.15x
User PnL: $193.34K

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?

Ends Aug 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1352716.77x
User PnL: $120.97K

Yes position

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 865788.24x
User PnL: $117.7K

No position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?

Ends Jul 27, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 685621.67x
User PnL: $104.18K

Yes position

Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022?

Ends Jun 30, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 217025855.00x
User PnL: $89.7K

Yes position

[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1197768.80x
User PnL: $84.94K

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.95K

Yes position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2485087.40x
User PnL: $79.82K

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?

Ends Sep 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1294176.49x
User PnL: $73.54K

Democratic position

Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.59K

Yes position

Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1180011.85x
User PnL: $63.79K

Yes position

Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1672990.93x
User PnL: $53.33K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1650811.60x
User PnL: $48.48K

Yes position

Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 268980.17x
User PnL: $47.77K

Yes position

Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022?

Ends Sep 30, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1769235.42x
User PnL: $44.97K

No position

Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022?

Ends Jun 10, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2325962.71x
User PnL: $44.39K

Yes position

Will $ETH be above $2,700 on May 14, 2022?

Ends May 14, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 3753339.71x
User PnL: $41.1K

Yes position

Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from March to April 2022?

Ends May 11, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 429760.03x
User PnL: $40.48K

No position

Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season?

Ends Sep 22, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 464901.40x
User PnL: $38.72K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 83.91 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Yes 79.6% 440.77 shares
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Yes 35% 36.69 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Yes 74.2% 3,169.07 shares
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Yes 47% 9,035.51 shares
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Yes 50.1% 11,878.56 shares
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Yes 55% 14,015.74 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 93% 2,487.53 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 93% 6,633.64 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 93.9% 5,715.62 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 92% 6,910.93 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 91% 13,999.93 shares