Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.18
- Potential profit
- $68.18
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Adirza
0x0e99bdab98e9ba74aaaff8f497a964fb5cf3e191
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.29
- Realized PnL
- $129.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.83
- Potential profit
- $58.83
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.74
- Potential profit
- $28.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $15.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.69
- Potential profit
- $10.69
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $7.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $5.79
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $5.31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.61
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.32
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Grokipedia released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
USD worth more than Euro before 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 48% 10.42 shares
- Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?No 87% 1.13 shares
- Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?Yes 91% 1.09 shares
- Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?Yes 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?Yes 21% 4.46 shares
- Will Google have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?Yes 1.6% 56.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on April 24, 2026?Yes 50% 3.84 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 27% 55.56 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 52% 9.62 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 86.3% 5.79 shares