Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.54K
- Potential profit
- $13.54K
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Polymarket Trader
agi
0x0ea38c7418f73dceb795f955c0cfa25a550a5166
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.07K
- Realized PnL
- $1.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $422.37
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$77.63
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $311.03
- Potential payout
- $715
- Potential profit
- $403.98
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $61.03
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $18.44
- Potential payout
- $424.85
- Potential profit
- $406.41
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$111.56
Yes position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.02
- Potential profit
- $233.02
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Yura Borisov win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $205.56
- Potential payout
- $209.86
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.48
- Potential profit
- $193.48
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $145.88
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.82
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $109.14
- Potential payout
- $120.6
- Potential profit
- $11.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.11
Yes position
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.38
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
Ends Dec 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $78.24
Yes position
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $75.16
Yes position
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.6
Strong position
Will the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.08
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.45
Yes position
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2689573.79x
- User PnL
- $21.36
No position
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023?
Ends Jun 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Yes position
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
Ends Mar 13, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
No position
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $9.65
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Joe Biden video statement today?
Ends Jul 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 25.8% 193.48 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 34.7% 288.48 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes 81.7% 85.7 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 35% 715 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes 87.9% 113.75 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82.9% 120.6 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 95.3% 209.86 shares
- Will the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?Strong 89% 337.08 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes 7.8% 1,275.71 shares
- Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes 28% 357.14 shares
- Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 16% 250 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 22% 136.36 shares