Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.01K
- Potential profit
- $120.01K
- User PnL
- -$26.21K
Polymarket Trader
MB1982
0x0eaa43c627cd482acb6866a03fe1138495e0c521
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.24K
- Realized PnL
- $203.03K
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.01K
- Potential profit
- $106.01K
- User PnL
- -$52.03K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.65K
- Potential profit
- $95.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.02K
- Potential profit
- $80.02K
- User PnL
- -$17.62K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.52K
- Potential profit
- $72.52K
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.2K
- Potential payout
- $61.22K
- Potential profit
- $56.01K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.8K
Over position
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.92K
- Potential profit
- $27.92K
- User PnL
- -$10.8K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $32.46
- Potential payout
- $21.64K
- Potential profit
- $21.61K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.97K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.8K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Over position
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$277.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.06K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.71K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95K
Yes position
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44K
Yes position
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42K
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28K
Yes position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Avalanche position
Blackhawks vs. Avalanche
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.93
Heat position
Rockets vs. Heat
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.48
Over position
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.98
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$329.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$573.25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$831.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$903.64
Yes position
Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.93K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.97K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 46% 5,713.04 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 49% 612.83 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 48.9% 204.47 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 50.6% 9,878.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 26.8% 1,864.9 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 49.7% 20,125.21 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 48.7% 20,552.1 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 47.1% 2,125 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 49.6% 2,015.96 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes 42.8% 2,334.13 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 34.5% 5,796.31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 47.1% 2,121.53 shares