Polymarket Trader

thalian

0x0eab53ddaec3106fce6c5a22ead8ab6b13308ebf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.35
Realized PnL: $14.38
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $31.71
Potential profit: $28.37
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 95.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 31.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 10.5% 19.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 7.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 7.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.5% 46.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 4.3% 46.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 25 shares