Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $247.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.75K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$196.38
Polymarket Trader
ocene
0x0eac23578a5066ad4885e3c40161746df2ed140a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5K
- Realized PnL
- $6.32K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $203.57
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $103.58
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $76.32
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$23.68
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $5.03K
- Potential profit
- $979.94
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $18.78
- Potential payout
- $4.69K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $13.66
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$122
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $187.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $812.5
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$121.34
Yes position
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $250.03
- Potential profit
- $216.27
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $136.4
- Potential profit
- $131.08
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.74
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.32
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.61
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $302.84
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.16
Sharks position
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ShindeN (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffs
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
VP.Prodigy position
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Connecticut Huskies position
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Connecticut Huskies
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
ENCE Academy position
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Southern Miss Golden Eagles position
Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Utah Tech Trailblazers position
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
VP.Prodigy position
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Montana State Bobcats position
Montana State Bobcats vs. Montana Grizzlies
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Omaha Mavericks position
Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.19
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.63
Yes position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.08
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 10,000 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 30.9% 503.4 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 8% 3,190.71 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 9% 1,959.29 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 7.1% 400 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 2,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes 2.5% 5,150 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes 8% 2,207.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes 7% 6,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 26% 2,908.83 shares
- Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Yes 0.4% 693.58 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 9% 2,707.77 shares