Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $75.62
- Potential payout
- $213
- Potential profit
- $137.39
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $58.36
Polymarket Trader
miaalpha64
0x0eecff718206a8b7144185031adc834f836c3e43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.34
- Realized PnL
- $40.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Latvia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $64
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$3.48
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$26.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Yes 8.1% 213 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?No 94.9% 20 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Yes 96.9% 17 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 3.8% 45 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?No 91.9% 27 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?Yes 96.8% 28 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.6% 48.67 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 94.7% 115 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 282 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 2.8% 313 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 109 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 2% 12 shares