Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $692.18
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $442.54
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$203.79
Polymarket Trader
ComradeGeneralFromSnezhnaya
0x0ef102af6df4f7fc310afeca9adc8fd219fd0b73
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $900.32
- Realized PnL
- $184.86
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $208.14
- Potential payout
- $243.44
- Potential profit
- $35.3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.62
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.91
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $38.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.56
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.37
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.49
No position
More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.6
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$123.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 64% 16.67 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 65% 121.51 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 64% 186.11 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 93% 285 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 93% 135.13 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 85% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 68% 227.27 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 98.6% 340.9 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 80% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 66% 227.27 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 72.7% 356.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 87% 114.94 shares