Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x0eFC9422E127C7FAFb4df652122Aec0358FeceFE-1772186063942
0x0efc9422e127c7fafb4df652122aec0358fecefe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.64
- Realized PnL
- $24.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.26
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 8.5% 11.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 83.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 10.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 37% 10.81 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 48% 23.18 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 69% 23.19 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 51% 42.1 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 38% 42.11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes 4.3% 17.54 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 4.16 shares