No position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $56.33
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Polymarket Trader
kaisaagapito
0x0f0faf6fd1feb876c00e696986526b52db9e949a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $172.12
- Realized PnL
- $1.75K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $56.87
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $58.91
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.8
Marlins position
Twins vs. Marlins
Ends Jul 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Orioles position
Pirates vs. Orioles
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.12
Giants position
Phillies vs. Giants
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
No position
Will Solana reach $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Donald Trump announce Eric Shmitt as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Phillies position
Phillies vs. White Sox
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.62
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104
Angels position
Rays vs. Angels
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$284.04
Diamondbacks position
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$348.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pirates vs. OriolesOrioles 58% 1,036 shares
- Mets vs. NationalsMets 62% 1,129 shares
- Diamondbacks vs. RangersDiamondbacks 40% 872 shares
- Rays vs. AngelsAngels 54% 526 shares
- Phillies vs. White SoxPhillies 57% 166 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Up 50% 1,600 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down on July 5?Up 50% 208 shares
- Twins vs. MarlinsMarlins 50% 1,200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?Down 53% 1,340 shares