Polymarket Trader

0x0f18937034A2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28-1767197506192

0x0f18937034a2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.77K
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $57.96
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $28.66
Potential payout: $535.71
Potential profit: $507.05
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $67.75
Potential payout: $462.43
Potential profit: $394.68
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $27.44

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $12.58
Potential payout: $419.35
Potential profit: $406.77
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $231.78
Potential payout: $403.1
Potential profit: $171.32
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $51.28

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $56.48
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $313.89
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $315.8
Potential profit: $307.78
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$75.02

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $313.35
Potential profit: $292.2
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$9.35

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $173.11
Potential payout: $272.62
Potential profit: $99.51
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $14.61

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $91.92
Potential payout: $168.66
Potential profit: $76.74
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $143.46
Potential payout: $156.61
Potential profit: $13.16
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $58.85
Potential payout: $129.33
Potential profit: $70.49
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$1.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $127.31
Potential payout: $128.27
Potential profit: $0.96
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $114.47
Potential profit: $112.06
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$41.64

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $113.31
Potential payout: $113.88
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: $2.01

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $94.72
Potential payout: $109.5
Potential profit: $14.78
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $94.63
Potential payout: $104.8
Potential profit: $10.17
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $16.78

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $19.34
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $81.67
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $79.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $20.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $79.5

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $92.12
Potential payout: $92.54
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $88.71
Potential payout: $90.85
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $33.94

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $32.04
Potential payout: $83.11
Potential profit: $51.07
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $49.68
Potential payout: $81.45
Potential profit: $31.77
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.93

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.45

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.63

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.18

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.29

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.63

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.28

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.23

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.19

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

No position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.69

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.43

Yes position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.03

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

No 99.7% 10.03 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

No 99.6% 20.08 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 95.6% 63.82 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

No 99.5% 20.1 shares
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

No 78% 2.53 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88% 15.65 shares
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

No 78% 9.01 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 42% 47.62 shares
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 53% 37.74 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 97.5% 20.51 shares
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 74% 20.51 shares
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 74% 0.19 shares