Polymarket Trader

Sylvester.the.Cat

0x0f2bcf469f85fe746058f3a0767d24124d0d665a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.49K
Realized PnL: -$356.6
Win rate: 64.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.15K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$471

No position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$171.33

No position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $745.07
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$227.97

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$920.99

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.38K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $625
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $275

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.28K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$1.21K

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $4.6K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $400
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $152.57

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $875
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $531.92

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $217.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $484.5

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $3.62K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $59.97

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.3%
Current value: $3.17K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: -$286.07

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$115.04

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $619.21
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $18.13

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $220
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $80

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $665
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $335
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $470.31
Potential payout: $500.33
Potential profit: $30.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $484.25
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$34.25

No position

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $434.6
Potential payout: $499.54
Potential profit: $64.94
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $189.77
Potential payout: $208.54
Potential profit: $18.77
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$240

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$682.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 83% 5,000 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 85.9% 1,000 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 85.2% 6 shares
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 98 shares
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

No 68.3% 2,000 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Yes 79% 174.39 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 74.4% 1,751.01 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 89.6% 3,000 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 90.8% 151 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 89.3% 745 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 82.1% 670.54 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

No 94% 10 shares