Polymarket Trader

Hans323

@Hans323

0x0f37cb80dee49d55b5f6d9e595d52591d6371410

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.27K
Realized PnL: $6.68M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.18K
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $15.29
User PnL: $896.07

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.67K
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $2.34
User PnL: $11.68

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $293.08
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $77.86

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $560.76
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $823.83
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$144.38

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $759.42
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $310.18
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $447.28

No position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $305
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $695
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$315

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $485
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $514.99
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $136.9
Potential payout: $667.79
Potential profit: $530.89
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.48

No position

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $499.97
Potential payout: $510.43
Potential profit: $10.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $110.27

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $492.25
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$122.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.36
Potential profit: $471.36
User PnL: -$23.9

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $240.07
Potential payout: $303.88
Potential profit: $63.81
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $34.53

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $123.42
Potential payout: $142.68
Potential profit: $19.26
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $16.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$9.12

Yes position

Will Paraguay finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02M

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950.28K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $868.03K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $551.93K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.94K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on December 7?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.58K

Yes position

Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.25K

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.5K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.7K

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.08K

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.68K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.11K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.22K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.95K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.68K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65K

Yes position

Will Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.12K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.31K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dubai be between 101-102°F on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37K

Yes position

Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91K

Yes position

Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?

Yes 51% 116.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?

No 30% 333 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Yes 95% 47.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 15?

No 96% 67.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?

No 99% 80.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?

Yes 98% 18.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?

Yes 97% 142.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 15?

No 99% 6.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?

Yes 93.9% 32.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?

Yes 93.8% 84.06 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 2.5% 40 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 88.3% 3,177.83 shares