Yes position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $15.73K
- Potential payout
- $15.75K
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- User PnL
- $428.01
Polymarket Trader
k-reality
0x0f550b9e3513544415a70ce459a8ce0f051bdc4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.76K
- Realized PnL
- $357.46
- Win rate
- 52.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $860.2
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $739.88
Yes position
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $643.71
- Potential payout
- $649.23
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $237.06
- Potential payout
- $237.42
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $64.88
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Japan position
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.69
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.98
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
No position
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.57
No position
Will Meta settle with the FTC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.48
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Paraguay position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.36
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.49
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.25
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$51.05
No position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$178.64
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$305.73
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$499.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 20% 9,265.57 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 3.1% 564.61 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 98.9% 1,101 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 98.4% 2,483.34 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 98.2% 2,723.25 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 97.6% 4,056.88 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 97% 200 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 95.7% 279 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 94.7% 466 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 68.9% 564.61 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 36.7% 433.33 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 95% 83.33 shares