Polymarket Trader

birdyyyy

0x0f6c88593ea9c5c570d7d6ddf282abb95051d597

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.53K
Realized PnL: $94.36
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $48.98
Potential payout: $837.25
Potential profit: $788.27
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$369.64

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $639.82
Potential payout: $681.74
Potential profit: $41.93
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $298.94

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $27.72
Potential payout: $264.03
Potential profit: $236.31
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$104.29

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $179
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $79

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $167.55
Potential payout: $177.96
Potential profit: $10.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $78.57

No position

Obama divorce before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $156
Potential payout: $164.04
Potential profit: $8.04
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $73.98

Yes position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$47.46

Yes position

Obama divorce before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.1
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$45.1

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $92.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $42.85

Yes position

Obama arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.15
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$46.15

No position

Obama arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $96.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $46.15

No position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $97.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $47.45

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$34.5

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $22.46
Potential profit: $21.08
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$9.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.78

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

No position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

Obama federally charged before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7% 22.04 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.2% 100 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing 96% 100 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing 96% 100 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.2% 100 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.2% 100 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing 96% 100 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.2% 100 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing 96% 100 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing 96% 68.95 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.1% 0.66 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing 96% 0.66 shares