Polymarket Trader

Happyadi

@aditya_rmurali

0x0f6f74a2dce3d9804c0eddee9d2706062275d78b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $497.14
Realized PnL: $544.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $160.64
Potential payout: $163.5
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $107.8
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $2.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $51.64
Potential payout: $54.64
Potential profit: $3.01
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $53.16
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $42.38
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $41.52
Potential payout: $44.27
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $21.69
Potential payout: $22.97
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.54
Potential payout: $21.85
Potential profit: $14.32
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$3.46

No position

Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $8.06
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $10.46
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.03
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.07
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.93

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.36

Yes position

Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.01

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.75

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.21

No position

Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $16.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Tricked position

Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

FOKUS position

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Up 94% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Up 55% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Down 99% 20.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Down 96.9% 5.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Down 98% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Down 98% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Down 96% 1.04 shares
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 98.9% 50.56 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 94% 42.55 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 91% 12.09 shares