Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $46.01
- Potential payout
- $47.87
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Polymarket Trader
SpiceBazaar
0x0f7d635d22ef305adfa97856fc0e5dc2baabc410
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.01
- Realized PnL
- $10.55
- Win rate
- 81%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Trail Blazers position
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Nuggets position
Jazz vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 94% 47.87 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No 98.9% 51.57 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.4% 36.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 36.46 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No 93% 36.84 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No 95% 36.84 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 98.1% 36.65 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 98.2% 36.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92% 38.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 38.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 38.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 38.3 shares