Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $261.25
- Potential payout
- $549.99
- Potential profit
- $288.75
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$11.92
Polymarket Trader
Aaronruan
@AaronRuanzs
0x0f8e236ea50f5159b97c7de91221c8b0702a9ea3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $817.31
- Realized PnL
- $3.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $354
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $145.09
- Potential payout
- $256.84
- Potential profit
- $111.75
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $56.98
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $143.02
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $474.03
Yes position
Will Solana reach $160 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.3
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.23
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $201.16
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.65
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.28
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.35
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.99
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.17
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.94
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.95
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.74
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.38
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.8
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.63
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.48
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 81.9% 188.12 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 52% 194 shares
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 0.1% 300 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 2,000 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 47% 100 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 32% 150 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.7% 48.35 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.2% 0.1 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?Yes 0.5% 2,021.61 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.2% 73.21 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.2% 227.75 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.2% 109 shares