Polymarket Trader

kthehandyman

0x0f93b26eda4e7d7022aec808ba499452eb8e3300

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.1K
Realized PnL: $1.33K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $460.45
Potential payout: $708.39
Potential profit: $247.94
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$39.55

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $542.35
Potential payout: $696.21
Potential profit: $153.86
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $42.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.9
Potential profit: $422.9
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.03
Potential profit: $378.03
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.85
Potential profit: $353.85
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.67
Potential profit: $333.67
User PnL: -$100.1

Yes position

Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.34
Potential profit: $213.34
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.23
Potential profit: $200.23
User PnL: -$100

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Magic

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $175.44
User PnL: -$100

Magic position

Magic vs. Rockets

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.87
Potential profit: $164.87
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $49.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $61.67
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $47.4
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $56.77
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$2.6

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Knicks

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Suns

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$68

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.41
Potential profit: $34.41
User PnL: -$24.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.75

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.04

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.6

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.03

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.12

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.4

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hawks

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.2

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.39

Spurs position

Grizzlies vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.86

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.66

Raptors position

Grizzlies vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Pistons position

Pacers vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

76ers position

76ers vs. Nets

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Nets

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Suns position

Spurs vs. Suns

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.17

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.35

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.77

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$43.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 43.1 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 74% 135.14 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 43% 232.56 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 48% 104.17 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 45% 111.11 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Yes 70.6% 708.39 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 71.8% 696.21 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.5% 277.77 shares
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Yes 46.9% 213.34 shares
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Yes 49.9% 200.23 shares
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Yes 79.4% 378.03 shares