Polymarket Trader

ElectricSamurai

0x0f9bf99cb7f86d70704edab6c7a234bc09bf7829

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.65K
Realized PnL: $70.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $56.85K
Potential payout: $60.77K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $49.16

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $17.82K
Potential payout: $19.01K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $173.65

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.17K
Potential payout: $12.18K
Potential profit: $6.09
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $7.42K
Potential payout: $8.68K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $213.36

No position

Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.27K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $29.13
User PnL: $325.58

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$130.05

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $999.96
User PnL: -$199.99

Nets position

Nets vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.16
Potential profit: $649.16
User PnL: -$19.42

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.39
Potential profit: $386.39
User PnL: -$197.06

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.5
Potential profit: $362.5
User PnL: -$290

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$148.99

Kings position

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.74
Potential profit: $277.74
User PnL: -$19.44

Bucks position

Bucks vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.16
Potential profit: $216.16
User PnL: -$19.45

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.27
Potential profit: $162.27
User PnL: -$19.47

Pacers position

Pistons vs. Pacers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.27
Potential profit: $162.27
User PnL: -$19.47

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.83
Potential profit: $149.83
User PnL: -$19.48

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $122.78
Potential payout: $147.93
Potential profit: $25.15
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $11.78

Knicks position

Hornets vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.17
Potential profit: $139.17
User PnL: -$19.48

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.38
Potential profit: $108.38
User PnL: -$19.51

Gen.G position

Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$16

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Heat

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.45
Potential profit: $72.45
User PnL: -$19.56

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.63
Potential profit: $68.63
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.59K

Yes position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59K

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88K

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55K

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07K

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

JD Gaming position

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

No position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Grizzlies

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

T1 position

LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Thunder position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 11,992.68 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.3% 11,000 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 183.15 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 82% 180.49 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 220.9 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Atlanta Braves 54% 1.85 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Atlanta Braves 54% 1.85 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.8% 11 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99.1% 7,103.01 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.5% 400 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.7% 1,473.12 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.8% 40 shares