Skifish

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $66.67
Potential payout: $26.67K
Potential profit: $26.6K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$13.31

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $9.32K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$11.98

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $37.56
Potential payout: $975.61
Potential profit: $938.05
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will DR Congo reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $8.56
Potential payout: $713.6
Potential profit: $705.04
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $588.3
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $53.56
Potential payout: $510.07
Potential profit: $456.52
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$55.14

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.1
Potential profit: $502.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $34.14
Potential payout: $429.48
Potential profit: $395.34
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.09
Potential profit: $326.09
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $94.46
Potential payout: $299.88
Potential profit: $205.42
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$24.54

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $18.57
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $267.14
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.43

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $245.13
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $24.91
Potential payout: $216.6
Potential profit: $191.69
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$5.09

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $25.77
Potential payout: $190.91
Potential profit: $165.14
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $17.36
Potential payout: $181.76
Potential profit: $164.4
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$6

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.79
Potential profit: $145.79
User PnL: -$91.18

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $135.71
Potential profit: $135.51
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.26

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.09

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.16

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.81

No position

Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.57

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.02

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.35

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.28

$4000 position

Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.68

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.96

No position

Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.84

No position

Maduro out in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.34

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.44

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 95.2%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $55.27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.75

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.92

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.25

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.39

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.74

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.26

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?