Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $51.67
- Potential profit
- $49.45
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Polymarket Trader
Styresman
0x0fa368c97da06d1c5a180032210f5746efb2e9c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.09
- Realized PnL
- $1.37
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $49.3
- Potential profit
- $48.39
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $25.83
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.48
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $7.29
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $8.55
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $6.18
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $5.87
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?Yes 16.2% 6.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?Yes 38% 3.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 5?Yes 2% 49.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 5?Yes 17% 5.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 5?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 5?Yes 1.9% 51.67 shares