No position
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.12K
- Potential profit
- $237.12K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Polymarket Trader
bl4ckvoya1
0x0fa66e806ccde64e557c867c36276ae281f32663
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $11.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.01K
- Potential profit
- $35.01K
- User PnL
- -$932.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.14K
- Potential profit
- $30.14K
- User PnL
- -$456.48
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.06K
- Potential profit
- $9.06K
- User PnL
- -$299.12
Yes position
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$31.16
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $250.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$36.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $145.99
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $776.95
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $245.35
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $372.63
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $284.89
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $715.09
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $34.9
Under position
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$378
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$420
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.67
- Potential profit
- $491.67
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$138
Yes position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$58
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.08
- Potential profit
- $48.08
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be less than $600M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.28
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $529.16
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.06
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.32
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.66
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $137.4
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.29
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.55
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.33
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $21.73
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 699.99 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 17% 1,300 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 76% 1,300 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?Yes 84% 500 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?Yes 99.9% 170 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 99.9% 1,500 shares
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?Yes 75% 170 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 65% 1,500 shares
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under 63% 600 shares
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes 52% 400 shares
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over 36.5% 3,449.25 shares