Polymarket Trader

xymaris

0x0fc03f2299518632879e7bf705e713f259139901

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $628.04
Realized PnL: $3.2K
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.05K
Potential profit: $6.05K
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.43K
User PnL: -$426.14

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$811.05

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $13.43
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$897.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $988.5
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $765.38
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$395.78

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $38.15
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $661.85
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $670
Potential profit: $670
User PnL: -$103.83

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $652.48
Potential profit: $646.61
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$374.82

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $24.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $575.1
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$115

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $178.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $121.5
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $73.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$12.3

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $46.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $253.65
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $140.66
Potential payout: $296.13
Potential profit: $155.47
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $20.06

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $223.45
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $153
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.2
Potential profit: $146.2
User PnL: -$5.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $846.94

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.24

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.5

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.8

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.3

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.69

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.67

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Yes position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.57

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.7

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 35% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 55% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 47% 200 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Yes 67% 190 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 96.1% 370 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 57% 264.78 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Yes 52% 770 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 50% 100 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

No 36% 30.7 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Yes 58% 200 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Yes 57% 113.33 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

No 53% 10 shares