No position
Israel strikes Yemen again by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$899.38
Polymarket Trader
Trader2936
0x0fda515436aae223bd6a9036cf10f88367465b87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $79.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$247.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Sep 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$330
No position
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$96.82
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$80
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.92K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
Yes position
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $945.83
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.26
No position
Another US military action against Iran by Wednesday?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.98
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.8
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.26
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.19
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes 31.7% 2,000 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes 28.4% 400 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes 29% 35 shares
- Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Yes 88% 17.5 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?Yes 99.7% 4,210 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No 45.4% 3,440 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No 84% 1,060 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?Yes 87% 210 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No 69.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No 93.8% 2,500 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?Yes 73% 4,000 shares
- Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?No 68% 230 shares