Polymarket Trader

0xm3

@0xWS3

0x0fdf96c28c8c1f4566bdd784d27e831f0957c207

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $247.37
Realized PnL: $284.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $149.02
Potential payout: $200.02
Potential profit: $51.01
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $98.36
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.77
Potential profit: $24.77
User PnL: -$20.01

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7
Potential profit: $1.7
User PnL: -$0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.38

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.56

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.83

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

No position

Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.8%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

No 53% 2.57 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?

Yes 1.3% 25.64 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

No 39% 2.56 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

No 30% 16.67 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

Yes 70% 6.57 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

Yes 76% 6.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Up 37% 2.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Down 99% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Down 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 50% 2.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 36% 2.78 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares