No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $455.56
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $285.19
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $55.56
Polymarket Trader
emilianoalv
0x0fe5cea97db9525404ca8ecb3d90a1dd6f303ecd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $459.16
- Realized PnL
- $653.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.54
- Potential profit
- $51.54
- User PnL
- -$27.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.42
- Potential profit
- $46.42
- User PnL
- -$34.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.88
- Potential profit
- $44.88
- User PnL
- -$21.99
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.12
- Potential profit
- $43.12
- User PnL
- -$21.99
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.54
- Potential profit
- $42.54
- User PnL
- -$34.44
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.36
- Potential profit
- $39.36
- User PnL
- -$25.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.61
- Potential profit
- $37.61
- User PnL
- -$26.33
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.11
- Potential profit
- $35.11
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.26
- Potential profit
- $33.26
- User PnL
- -$10.31
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $23.07
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.47
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.29
- Potential profit
- $24.29
- User PnL
- -$18.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.15
- Potential profit
- $24.15
- User PnL
- -$11.83
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.48
- Potential profit
- $23.48
- User PnL
- -$5.17
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.93
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- User PnL
- -$15.55
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.91
- Potential profit
- $19.91
- User PnL
- -$11.35
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.98
- Potential profit
- $18.98
- User PnL
- -$5.14
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.05
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- User PnL
- -$7.83
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.61
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Clippers position
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- User PnL
- -$5.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.37
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- User PnL
- -$2.28
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.69
- Potential profit
- $6.69
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Devils position
Devils vs. Rangers
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $6.17
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $90.91
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.66
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.01
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.56
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Trail Blazers position
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No 54% 740.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?No 86% 454.54 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?No 66% 454.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 87.6% 451.76 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 18.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 88.3% 223.68 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 76% 223.68 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 58.8% 170.07 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 71% 281.69 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 90.8% 513.51 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95.3% 20.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 67.8% 363.49 shares