No position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $88.6
- Potential profit
- $84.09
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Polymarket Trader
gustonator
0x0fee8873d1d2e9acfa13d1ac008c19bca4ff5fa1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.62
- Realized PnL
- $76.22
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.41
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $29.42
- Potential profit
- $19.56
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $24.71
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $20.98
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $16.56
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.4%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 3.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
N
No position
Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?Yes 76% 1.32 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No 31% 3.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 51% 1.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp 47% 4.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 33% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown 64% 1.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETDown 1% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETDown 36% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown 99% 5.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown 98% 5.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp 36% 13.89 shares