No position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$56
Polymarket Trader
doubetter
0x1000b230bbf6524778030b94527a4eddc229b7b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $100.55
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $9.01
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $11.42
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.24
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $995
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $376.92
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.32
Yes position
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.96
No position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $80.54
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.1
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 550.0k by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.83
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.85
No position
Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.42
No position
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.75
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.02
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.43
No position
Megaquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.49
No position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Yes 0.3% 115.08 shares
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 36.5% 106 shares
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes 59% 105.62 shares
- Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?Yes 99% 195.98 shares
- Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMaja Chwalinska 4% 411.86 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes 88% 11.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 78% 205.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 81.5% 122.68 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 88% 113.64 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?No 36% 5 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?No 1% 245 shares
- Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?No 82% 100.54 shares