Polymarket Trader

0x1002B997152Ba454Ccd06e167FF16339B9A717d7-1761227623353

0x1002b997152ba454ccd06e167ff16339b9a717d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.73K
Realized PnL: -$73.8
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1.22K

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $682.62

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $271.03
Potential payout: $271.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $171.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.21

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.61

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.78

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.09

Yes position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$12.77

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$27.14

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$32.78

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$78.94

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$181.72

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$316.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 64.1% 1,066.68 shares
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Yes 32% 312.5 shares
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Yes 83.2% 1,201.45 shares
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Yes 80.2% 1,247.09 shares
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Yes 77.4% 1,292.26 shares
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 93.7% 1,066.68 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 29% 3,448.28 shares
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Yes 36.9% 271.03 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 69.8% 1,432.53 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 80% 1,250.09 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Yes 82% 106.38 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 60% 3,278.68 shares