Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $114.12
- Potential payout
- $136.67
- Potential profit
- $22.55
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Polymarket Trader
Macia
@aCpOA55NnxPZhqM
0x1009506a649926c16b9f809cd5b9f80de5d75fb9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $114.12
- Realized PnL
- $109.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.04
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- User PnL
- -$17.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Norway position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
No position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway 34% 14.71 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?No 82% 6.1 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 90% 136.67 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.4% 134.69 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98% 134.69 shares
- Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes 98.5% 16.24 shares
- Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No 96% 104.17 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 83.3% 48.78 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 35% 60 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 98.8% 21.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 20.68 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 84% 41.45 shares