Polymarket Trader

ApexBaron

0x101c766b1c2829427ad71bf845231d4afb2215a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $245.66
Realized PnL: $2.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $29.77
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $121.74
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 31.2%
Current value: $43.27
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $95.63
Multiplier: 3.21x
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $39.53
Potential payout: $103.9
Potential profit: $64.37
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $72.33
Multiplier: 6.21x
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $39.68
Potential payout: $64.53
Potential profit: $24.84
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $46.11
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $15.16
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $16.76
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $11.6
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.9
Potential payout: $20.97
Potential profit: $8.07
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $10.51
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $8.89
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $9.63
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $12.79
Potential profit: $7.99
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $5.16
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $3.15
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.52

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.52

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.76

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.67

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.29

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.76

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.74

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.04

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.54

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.21

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.32

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.09

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.53

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

No position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.58

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 47% 31.91 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?

No 49% 20.41 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 20.97 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 1.2% 105.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?

Yes 41% 4.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?

Yes 39.1% 12.79 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 27% 18.52 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 5.8% 86.21 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 151.52 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Yes 31% 5.16 shares