Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $540
- User PnL
- -$216
Polymarket Trader
wakaiwagmi
@elijah_bcc
0x103b8a76a4043eeb51740b72978a10b54213fe5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.23
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $152.68
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $25.89
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $52.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $70.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $40.56
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $30.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $109.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $53.57
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.73
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.43
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.41
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.23
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $25.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.45
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.96
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.61
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
Up position
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 56% 178.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 36% 111.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 44% 222.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 45% 222.04 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.2% 100 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.7% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 64% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 28% 714.29 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?Yes 72% 133.88 shares