Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $829.58
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
betterlost
0x103e6b5442c9cd671c0c60ddaa6aa8ecec5c78b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.98
- Realized PnL
- $2.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.1
- Potential profit
- $769.1
- User PnL
- -$256.92
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $17.23
- Potential payout
- $733.33
- Potential profit
- $716.1
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $6.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.39
- Potential profit
- $551.39
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $464.36
- Potential profit
- $464.36
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.41
- Potential profit
- $396.41
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.4
- Potential profit
- $382.4
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.06
- Potential profit
- $378.06
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375.5
- Potential profit
- $375.5
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.75
- Potential profit
- $306.75
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.29
- Potential profit
- $296.29
- User PnL
- -$186.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256
- Potential profit
- $256
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.76
- Potential profit
- $241.76
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.55
- Potential profit
- $229.55
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.31
- Potential profit
- $227.31
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216
- Potential profit
- $216
- User PnL
- -$79.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.73
- Potential profit
- $215.73
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.6
- Potential profit
- $210.6
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.67
- Potential profit
- $202.67
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.91
- Potential profit
- $198.91
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.66
- Potential profit
- $193.66
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.9
- Potential profit
- $182.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.5
- Potential profit
- $177.5
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.19
- Potential profit
- $177.19
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 18?Yes 32.5% 106.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?Yes 33.4% 119.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?Yes 0.2% 134.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?Yes 14.9% 134.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 18?Yes 25.2% 158.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?Yes 99.9% 178.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?Yes 14.4% 82.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?Yes 10.2% 18.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 17?Yes 20.8% 90.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?Yes 35% 85.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on June 17?Yes 0.1% 68.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?Yes 24.2% 82.56 shares