0x1054944d5eEE70c20D276C74C7FE83F14FcBCE33-1780898525155

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.47
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $5.84
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $5.84
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.84
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $5.52
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.45
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $5.42
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $5.4
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $5.4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 10?