Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Polymarket Trader
0x105b...da2d
0x105b96cc9ed87a0ee106f4988cf093597c70da2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $47.4
- Realized PnL
- $8.29
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.2
N
No position
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes 28% 6.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?No 68% 7.1 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 77% 6.08 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 62% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 26.9% 18.59 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?No 71% 7.1 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes 68% 7.1 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 29% 6 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.5% 100 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 33% 7 shares