No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $787.61
- Potential payout
- $788
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $29.81
Polymarket Trader
sentientsnake
0x105cb743270a2fc319fa2279a09bda5e1506b786
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.62K
- Realized PnL
- $384.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $610.03
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $220.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $29.38
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.96
Up position
COMEX Gold Futures (GC=F) Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.12
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 4AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.5% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96.6% 380 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96.4% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 94% 108 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.4% 13 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 97.3% 90 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes 96% 119.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 89.9% 51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 62% 220 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 94.3% 150.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.3% 120 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 94% 150 shares