Polymarket Trader

lukeforc

@lukeforc

0x10846dacc085d1ecac1b01e9325986202414d520

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $469.28
Realized PnL: $12.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$819.94

No position

Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $759.51
Potential profit: $759.51
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632.05
Potential profit: $632.05
User PnL: -$57.73

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $280.59
Potential payout: $597
Potential profit: $316.41
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $101.49

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.39
Potential profit: $266.39
User PnL: -$47.95

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $188.69
Potential payout: $228.71
Potential profit: $40.02
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $62.9

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $40.32
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.36

Yes position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.88

No position

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.53

No position

Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Yes position

Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

No position

Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.9

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.34

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.2

No position

Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.12

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.94

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.67

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Yes position

Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.74

No position

Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.1

Yes position

Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.49

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.15

No position

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.14

Yes position

Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch

Yes 2.1% 500 shares
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch

Yes 1.1% 1,000 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 34% 700 shares
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 92.5% 4,000 shares
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 27.1% 225.66 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 47% 100 shares
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 12.3% 66.25 shares
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 8% 87.64 shares
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 4.6% 2,554.15 shares
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 16.9% 1,412.84 shares
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 15.8% 1,547.19 shares