Polymarket Trader

Pivko

0x108fc2deecbe9c551a8d95e622af4cf405ef7937

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $662.91
Realized PnL: $379.2
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.94K
Potential profit: $107.94K
User PnL: -$190.2

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.91K
Potential profit: $21.91K
User PnL: -$559.89

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.76K
Potential profit: $19.76K
User PnL: -$100.78

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.5K
Potential profit: $19.5K
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.58K
Potential profit: $12.58K
User PnL: -$98.83

Yes position

Will the US strike Nigeria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.48K
Potential profit: $7.48K
User PnL: -$72.42

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.23K
Potential profit: $7.23K
User PnL: -$51.74

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $210.86
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$83.34

Yes position

Will the US strike Cuba next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US strike Venezuela next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.79K
User PnL: -$210.41

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $63.9
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.34K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$61.38

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$591.41

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $173.95
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $3.05K
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$19.25

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $3.11K
User PnL: -$119.75

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the US strike Mexico next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $214.2
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$32.6

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$12.84

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$13.35

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$40.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.81

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $215.64

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.87

Yes position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.02

No position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024?

Ends Apr 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

LayerZero airdrop in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$142.5

Yes position

zkSync airdrop by June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$181.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 854.13 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Yes 6% 1,212.09 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 3.9% 581.78 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Yes 6% 2,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 13% 38.46 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.6% 51.78 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 47% 42.55 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 1,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 4,737 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Yes 1% 1,792.09 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.6% 597.21 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 1,669.81 shares