Polymarket Trader

Crypto-Dawg

0x10909359f9db92c8ea52c9533ebe05f903db8104

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.53K
Realized PnL: $4.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $643.7
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $11.86K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $18.75

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $183.44
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $1.82

Spain position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $378.75

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 74.6%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $380.19
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.7%
Current value: $407.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $592.6
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: -$182.6

No position

Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $911.69
Potential payout: $974.55
Potential profit: $62.86
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$15.11

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 35.6%
Current value: $178.1
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $321.9
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Another World Cup card reversed?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $224.47
Potential payout: $231.17
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $217
Potential payout: $217
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.98

No position

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $104.59
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $42.24
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $912.65

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.17

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.58

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.97

No position

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.22

No position

U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.34

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.21

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.51

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.89

No position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.58

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.55

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.96

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.1

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.24

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.96

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.56

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.46

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.31

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.3

No position

Israel strikes Iran by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.05

No position

Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.44

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another World Cup card reversed?

No 96.5% 231.17 shares
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.6% 109 shares
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 95.4% 217 shares
Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.1% 974.55 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5% 3,632.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Down 81% 250 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 74.5% 1,000 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5% 12,499 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.5% 500 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 74.8% 1,000 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 74.5% 498 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 74.8% 500 shares