Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
loxia
@Loxia_in_Tj
0x10a0b4dd9a3986222715b2b72098dd295230dc15
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.5K
- Realized PnL
- $1.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$21.8
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $663.76
- Potential profit
- $663.76
- User PnL
- -$4.65
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $561.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $38.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $528.01
- Potential profit
- $528.01
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $318
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $82
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $360
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $40
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$207
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $287.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $12.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $247.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- $28.75
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$58.64
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $196.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $198.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182
- Potential profit
- $182
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $90.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $59.25
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $12.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.95
- Potential profit
- $113.95
- User PnL
- -$7.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $51.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.25
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.98
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $87
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.01
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.57
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $37.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.4
No position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.3% 130.58 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No 99.3% 623 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 52% 150 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 55% 100 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.3% 600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 600 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up 4.7% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up 5% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up 3.9% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up 2.9% 100 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 78% 200 shares