Polymarket Trader

Damyan

0x10a8d09bccb62b16fb4b6428f441225f00a35b1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.15
Realized PnL: -$111.72
Win rate: 12.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $7.59
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$92.4

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $592.42
Potential profit: $592.42
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.11
Potential profit: $561.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $100.56
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.09
Potential profit: $66.09
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.78
Potential profit: $57.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.52
Potential profit: $38.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dog" or "Doggy" this week? (February 1)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.22
Potential profit: $34.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rybakina position

Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will 'Gladiator 2' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

Rybakina 41% 24.39 shares
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?

No 26% 38.52 shares
Will Trump say "Dog" or "Doggy" this week? (February 1)

Yes 29.2% 34.22 shares
Will the US strike Iran next?

Yes 1.7% 592.42 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the announcement on Thursday?

Yes 15.1% 66.09 shares
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 561.11 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 7.9% 1,265.82 shares